With effect from midnight tonight, the demarcation of Ethio-Eritrean boundary will be as complete as any demarcated interstate boundary would be, if not better defined. An 18-page document which identifies 131 locations of geographical co-ordinates a further 15 locations of natural geographical features published a year ago by the Hague Based Ethiopia Eritrea Boundary Commission (EEBC) will replace the April 2002 delimitation co-ordinates and boundary location points published by the same commission.
In order to arrive at this demarcation line, the EEBC employed "modern techniques of image processing and terrain modelling, combined with high resolution aerial photography, as well as knowledge acquired on the ground by the Commission field staff, to identify the locations where the line of the boundary changes direction and where boundary pillars would otherwise be located". In its 12 page statement published on 27 November 2006, the EEBC stated its legal reasoning by citing legal references as to the "the legal acceptability of a "demarcation" by means of a list of Coordinates".
Some of implications of this historic the demarcation-line are likely to be as follows:
With immediate effect, "conduct inconsistent with this [demarcation] boundary line will become unlawful". The dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia will be recognized as the issue of the occupation of sovereign territory of a UN member state by another, there will be no more references to the "ill defined border". Areas north of this demarcation line still occupied by Ethiopia will have to be vacated one way or the other. Even though initially Ethiopia will resist withdrawal, in the end, Ethiopia will have no choice but to gradually pull out, dismantling the illegal settlements it created since 2002.
With accuracy of about one meter on the ground, these new demarcation points will identify clearly and separate the sections of the Ethio Eritrea border that are not separated by natural boundary such as rivers. These demarcation points together with the natural boundary features will also make the boundary between Ethiopia and Eritrea one of the very few most accurate boundaries in the world and unique in the continent of Africa leaving the area with little or no room for argument or misinterpretation as to who has sovereignty over what.
In order to prevent local communities from accidentally straying into each others territory, the physical placement of the demarcation pillars (which by the way the commission has been prevented from carrying out by the Ethiopian Government for the last five years) would have been ideal; especially around the densely populated areas in the vicinity of towns of Zalambesa and Tserona in the Central Sector; elsewhere in other sectors however it makes little or no difference. Having no pillars on the ground however should not be a problem, due to the advance in satellite navigation technology, which made cheap, sophisticated satellite navigation system gadgets easily available and the improvement in accessibility of the internet based maps such as Google Earth. Even pillars on the ground are not sufficient in guiding the local communities especially if the pillars are tens of kilometres apart. For example, Badme village is located 2 Kilometres north of the straight boundary line formed by two demarcation locations 89 Kilometres apart. To guide the sparsely populated communities in this sector, these two demarcation points must, indeed, be supplemented by satellite navigation systems operated by their respective central governments and local administrators. In certain areas, the two states may have to erect fences on their side of the demarcation-line.
Last but not least, one positive implication for Eritrea is the Temporary Security Zone, which is entirely located within undisputed sovereign Eritrean territories formed by virtue of article 12 of the Secession of Hostility Agreement of 2000 to facilitate the delimitation and demarcation of the border will seize to exist thereby providing the area with an opportunity of benefiting from the Warsay-Yekalo National Development Programme currently being implemented in the rest of Eritrea by 300,000 strong Eritrean Defence Force. Concurrently, in accordance with Article 5 of the Secession of Hostility Agreement, the mandate of the UNMEE (which has virtually transformed itself during the last 5 years into a protection and intelligence force for the occupying Ethiopian regime) will also expire. UNMEE will movements will probably be restricted to and/or south of the demarcation line.
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